Tuesday, November 24, 2009

2010 Melbourne Cup Alcopop - Shocking - So You Think - Monaco Consul - Shamoline Warrior - Speed Gifted

Alcopop heads Melbourne Cup market

Adrian Dunn in the Herald Sun on November 25, 2009 wrote:

Jockey Dom Tourneur returns to scale aboard Alcopop. Picture: Russel Tindale Source: Herald Sun

EMERGING star Alcopop shares favouritism with Melbourne Cup winner Shocking and Cox Plate winner So You Think for next year's Melbourne Cup.

Eskander's Betstar yesterday posted the first market on the 2010 Cup, 344 days before the running of the world's greatest 3200m handicap.

Shocking, Alcopop and So You Think are at $21, while Victoria Derby winner Monaco Consul and Shamoline Warrior, the Derby favourite before his race-morning scratching, and Metropolitan winner Speed Gifted are next at $26.

Betstar spokesman Michael Horne said he would let punters decide who should be favourite.

Horne said recently purchased Europeans Alandi, winner of the Irish St Leger, and Doctor Fremantle and Above Average, who have both joined the Lee Freedman stable, were $41.

Sunday, November 8, 2009

Sterling Prince for 2010 Melbourne Cup

Melbourne Cup 2010 for Sterling Prince
By Robert Windmill
18:49 AEST Sat Nov 7 2009
Latest Horse Racing:

New Zealand trainer Wayne Hillis has vowed to return with Sterling Prince for next year's Melbourne Cup after the gelding's runaway win in the Group Three Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Flemington.

Hillis is hoping that the six-year-old can use the victory as a platform for the Cup in the same way as Makybe Diva who won the 2002 Queen Elizabeth before winning her first of three Melbourne Cups in 2003.

Sterling Prince was blooded for greater things this spring when third to Leica Ding in the Geelong Cup and fifth in the Lexus Quality leading up to today's victory over 2500m which was his first beyond 1600 metres and his fifth in 28 starts.

"He might be better next year," Hillis said.

"I think having a run around here now he will come back stronger and know the course."

Sterling Prince was being aimed at this year's Melbourne Cup but connections mistimed the declarations and he didn't qualify.

Hillis said Sterling Prince shied at the winning post which cost him second place in the Geelong Cup while last start in the Lexus he wasn't suited when left in front.

"He has always been wayward and slow at learning things and beaten himself a few times but he is finally getting it together now," Hillis said.

Hugh Bowman, who has ridden the stayer at his three Australian runs, said the Queen Elizabeth unfolded as he had hoped with him settling fourth while Alexander Of Hales, pressured by Stormhill, ensured a strong pace.

"He settled much better today with the trail," Bowman said.

"There was a bit of pace in the race and he drew (barrier) one and all these things make a difference."

Bowman waited until well into the straight to make his move on Sterling Prince and he scored by two lengths from Crossthestart with the Bart Cummings-trained Naval Escort 1-1/4 lengths away third.

Bowman said his confidence in Sterling Prince grew after Crime Scene, who finished sixth in the Geelong Cup, was able to run second to Shocking in the Melbourne Cup.

Sterling Prince is by the impeccably-bred stallion Colombia who, by Zabeel from Eight Carat, failed to make an impact on the track but is a full or half-brother to five Group One winners including Octagonal.

Hillis, who trains at Matamata, said he would consider backing up Sterling Prince in next Saturday's Group Two Sandown Classic but he was more likely to be flown back to New Zealand on Sunday night.

He said he hoped the Queen Elizabeth win would encourage the Hong Kong Jockey Club to invite Sterling Prince to compete in next month's Group One Hong Kong Vase (2400m).

"We have nominated him for it and it wouldn't be a bad race to run him in," Hillis said.

Glen Boss was taken with the run on Naval Escort who made up a lot of ground after being last most of the way.

"He is a promising stayer in the making," Boss said.

Tuesday, November 3, 2009

Good result at PickTheCupWinner.com.au

If you subscribed to PickTheCupWinner.com.au you will have noted my note to you on the password protected page saying saying:

"Be aware that a thorough examination of statistics for the last 50 years indicate the Cup will probably be won by a 4, 5 or 6 yr old colt or gelding. They also indicate the horse won’t carry less than 50 kgs or more than 56.5 kgs. Also, the starting price of the winner will more that likely be less than 20/1. They also indicate the favourite only wins once every five years.And statistics, since 1861, indicate only once every 37 years will the same horse win two consecutive Melbourne Cups."
.
"Allowing for this and after studying the form of all of the horses I believe one of these six horses will win the 2009 Melbourne Cup. Daffodil, Shocking, Master O’Reilly, Viewed, Alcopop, Roman Emperor."

"If you rely totally on the statistical information above you would have to rule out Daffodil, Master O’Reilly, Viewed. Thus, statistics indicate that the Cup winner should be Alcopop, Roman Emperor or Shocking. And if you are leaning towards any of these three horses be aware that statistics are on your side."

And , if you read below you will see 4 of my selections 1st, 4th, 6th and 7th.

Ummmmmmm......not bad!

Melbourne Cup 2009 Results

1st SHOCKING
2nd CRIME SCENE
3rd MOURILYAN
4th MASTER O'REILLY
5th HARRIS TWEED
6th ALCOPOP
7th VIEWED
8th C'EST LA GUERRE
9th KIBBUTZ
10th NEWPORT
11th DAFFODIL
12th MUNSEF
13th GALLIONS REACH
14th LEICA DING
15th ISTA KAREEM
16th ALLEZ WONDER
17th CAPECOVER
18th BASALTICO
19th ZAVITE
20th SPIN AROUND
21st ROMAN EMPEROR
22nd FIUMICINO
23rd WARRINGAH

Sunday, November 1, 2009

McKinnon and Lexus Results from Saturday 31/10/09

As mentioned in my e-book "How To Pick The Cup Winner of the 2009 Melbourne Cup" the Lexus Stakes and the Mckinnon have, in the past, been good indicators for the Melbourne Cup. Trainers, like the legendary Bart Cummings, have used it as a 'last hit out' for some of their charges. Some trainers use the races to 'qualify' their horses, as the winners get automatic entry into the Melbourne Cup.

My selection format, as described in "How To Pick The Cup Winner of the 2009 Melbourne Cup", is to reduce the choice from a selection of 1 of 24 horses to 1 of 6 horses. Then I have a small each way bet on the 6 horses.

My Melbourne Cup betting will never make me wealthy but only twice in the last 20 years have I not selected the winner using this system. And, in my e-book, I tell how I reduce that six down to three and then down to one. And whilst I've never been successful with a Cup Trifecta I have selected 12 out of the last 21 winners including 6 out of the last 10. I invite you to check out my e-book at www.PickTheCupWinner.com.au

The results of the Lexus Stakes were:
1st Shocking
2nd Hume
3rd Irazu
4th Naval Escort
5th Sterling Prince

The Results for the McKinnon Stakes were:
1st Scenic Shot
2nd Miss Maren
3rd Viewed
4th Racing To Win
5th Master O'Reilly
6th Newport